PolyBridge
Calibrated probabilistic foresight for AI agents, powered by live prediction-market signal.
Sollte ich dies verwenden
Qualität und Sicherheit
A
Basierend auf einer automatisierten Analyse der Tool-Definitionen und der Einhaltung des Protokolls.
Kontextkosten
~1,551Tokens (Tool-Definitionen)
~8.9 KBTypische Antwortgröße
Mittlere Auswirkung auf die Aufmerksamkeit (1.21% von 128k Kontext)
Dies ist die ungefähre Anzahl der Tokens, die jedes Mal verbraucht werden, wenn die Tools des Servers in den Kontext eines Modells geladen werden. Höhere Werte verringern die Aufmerksamkeit, die für andere Aufgaben verfügbar ist.
Installieren
Installation mit einem Klick
Fügen Sie dies Ihrer Datei `claude_desktop_config.json` hinzu:
{
"mcpServers": {
"polybridge-mcp": {
"url": "https://mcp.polybridge.ai/mcp"
}
}
}Remote-Endpunkte
https://mcp.polybridge.ai/mcpstreamable-httpWas es kann
Tool-Inventar
Tools (2)
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🟢polybridge_search(query, dimensions, top_k_per_dimension, filters)
Search public prediction markets for markets relevant to a natural-language topic or question. Use when you need candidate markets, market URLs, outcomes, statuses, and relevance scores. Do not use for a final probability forecast, market-history lookup, trading, or private/internal data. Scores are relevance scores, not probabilities.
Eingabe-Schema
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"query": {
"description": "Natural-language topic or question to match to public markets.",
"title": "Query",
"type": "string"
},
"dimensions": {
"default": [
"direct",
"upstream",
"downstream",
"correlated"
],
"description": "Search dimensions to run. Uses all supported dimensions by default.",
"items": {
"enum": [
"direct",
"upstream",
"downstream",
"correlated"
],
"type": "string"
},
"maxItems": 4,
"minItems": 1,
"title": "Dimensions",
"type": "array"
},
"top_k_per_dimension": {
"default": 5,
"description": "Maximum number of candidate markets to return per search dimension.",
"maximum": 100,
"minimum": 1,
"title": "Top K Per Dimension",
"type": "integer"
},
"filters": {
"anyOf": [
{
"$ref": "#/$defs/SearchToolFilters"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"description": "Optional market filters. Currently only filters.status is supported, with active, closed, or resolved."
}
},
"required": [
"query"
],
"$defs": {
"SearchToolFilters": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"status": {
"anyOf": [
{
"enum": [
"active",
"closed",
"resolved"
],
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Status"
}
},
"title": "SearchToolFilters",
"type": "object"
}
},
"title": "polybridge_searchArguments"
}Ausgabe-Schema
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"request_id": {
"title": "Request Id",
"type": "string"
},
"query": {
"title": "Query",
"type": "string"
},
"total_markets": {
"title": "Total Markets",
"type": "integer"
},
"dimensions_returned": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Dimensions Returned",
"type": "array"
},
"results": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/CompactSearchResult"
},
"title": "Results",
"type": "array"
},
"warnings": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Warnings",
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"request_id",
"query",
"total_markets",
"dimensions_returned",
"results"
],
"$defs": {
"CompactSearchResult": {
"properties": {
"dimension": {
"title": "Dimension",
"type": "string"
},
"rank": {
"title": "Rank",
"type": "integer"
},
"market_id": {
"title": "Market Id",
"type": "string"
},
"platform": {
"title": "Platform",
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"outcomes": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Outcomes",
"type": "array"
},
"status": {
"enum": [
"active",
"closed",
"resolved"
],
"title": "Status",
"type": "string"
},
"platform_url": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Platform Url"
},
"score": {
"title": "Score",
"type": "number"
},
"warnings": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Warnings",
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"dimension",
"rank",
"market_id",
"platform",
"question",
"outcomes",
"status",
"score"
],
"title": "CompactSearchResult",
"type": "object"
}
},
"title": "CompactSearchResponse"
}🟢polybridge_forecast(question, include_graph)
Generate a read-only probability forecast for a clearly stated future event by searching relevant prediction markets and synthesizing evidence. Use when the user asks for a probability, outlook, or forecast; use polybridge_search when they only need market discovery. Does not place trades, provide financial advice, or access private/internal data.
Eingabe-Schema
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"question": {
"description": "Clearly stated future-event forecasting question, 500 characters or fewer.",
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"include_graph": {
"default": true,
"description": "Whether to include the causal graph in the structured response.",
"title": "Include Graph",
"type": "boolean"
}
},
"required": [
"question"
],
"title": "polybridge_forecastArguments"
}Ausgabe-Schema
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"request_id": {
"title": "Request Id",
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"probability": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "number"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Probability"
},
"confidence": {
"title": "Confidence",
"type": "number"
},
"confidence_interval": {
"anyOf": [
{
"$ref": "#/$defs/ConfidenceInterval"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null
},
"reasoning": {
"title": "Reasoning",
"type": "string"
},
"engine_type": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/EngineType"
},
"causal_graph": {
"anyOf": [
{
"$ref": "#/$defs/CausalGraphView"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null
},
"markets_used": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/MarketSummary"
},
"title": "Markets Used",
"type": "array"
},
"distribution": {
"anyOf": [
{
"additionalProperties": {
"type": "number"
},
"type": "object"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Distribution"
},
"latency_ms": {
"title": "Latency Ms",
"type": "integer"
},
"error": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Error"
},
"metadata": {
"additionalProperties": true,
"default": {},
"title": "Metadata",
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"request_id",
"question",
"confidence",
"reasoning",
"engine_type",
"markets_used",
"latency_ms"
],
"$defs": {
"CausalGraphView": {
"properties": {
"nodes": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/GraphNode"
},
"title": "Nodes",
"type": "array"
},
"edges": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/GraphEdge"
},
"title": "Edges",
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"nodes",
"edges"
],
"title": "CausalGraphView",
"type": "object"
},
"ConfidenceInterval": {
"properties": {
"lower": {
"title": "Lower",
"type": "number"
},
"upper": {
"title": "Upper",
"type": "number"
}
},
"required": [
"lower",
"upper"
],
"title": "ConfidenceInterval",
"type": "object"
},
"EngineType": {
"enum": [
"llm_standin",
"math_engine",
"oracle_port",
"llm_fallback"
],
"title": "EngineType",
"type": "string"
},
"GraphEdge": {
"properties": {
"source": {
"title": "Source",
"type": "string"
},
"target": {
"title": "Target",
"type": "string"
},
"relationship": {
"title": "Relationship",
"type": "string"
},
"strength": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "number"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"title": "Strength"
},
"description": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"title": "Description"
}
},
"required": [
"source",
"target",
"relationship",
"strength",
"description"
],
"title": "GraphEdge",
"type": "object"
},
"GraphNode": {
"properties": {
"id": {
"title": "Id",
"type": "string"
},
"label": {
"title": "Label",
"type": "string"
},
"markets": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/MarketSummary"
},
"title": "Markets",
"type": "array"
},
"current_probability": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "number"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"title": "Current Probability"
}
},
"required": [
"id",
"label",
"markets",
"current_probability"
],
"title": "GraphNode",
"type": "object"
},
"MarketSummary": {
"properties": {
"id": {
"format": "uuid",
"title": "Id",
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"platform": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/Platform"
},
"current_prices": {
"anyOf": [
{
"additionalProperties": {
"type": "number"
},
"type": "object"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Current Prices"
},
"platform_url": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Platform Url"
}
},
"required": [
"id",
"question",
"platform"
],
"title": "MarketSummary",
"type": "object"
},
"Platform": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"kalshi"
],
"title": "Platform",
"type": "string"
}
},
"title": "ForecastResponse"
}Community
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