Election Odds Desk

Kalshi odds for 2026 Senate, governor and House races, the Senate map, and the next Fed meeting.

Should I use this

Quality & Safety

B
Description quality
93%
Schema completeness
57%
Naming quality
80%
Poisoning risk
100%
Permission match
100%
Protocol compliance
100%

Findings (1)

  • LOWTool 'race_odds' description lacks action verbin race_odds

Based on automated analysis of tool definitions and protocol compliance.

Context Cost

~887Tokens (tool definitions)
~1.0 KBTypical response size
Moderate attention impact (0.69% of 128k context)

This is the approximate number of tokens consumed each time the server's tools are loaded into a model's context. Higher counts reduce the attention available for other tasks.

Install

One-Click Install

Add this to your `claude_desktop_config.json` file:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "elections": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Remote endpoints

https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcpstreamable-http
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registrystreamable-http

What it can do

Tool inventory

Tools (4)

🟢 Read-only🟡 Write🔴 Delete⚪ Unknown
🟢senate_map

Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win probability where provable), closest race first, with a page URL per seat. Prices are never estimated — an unpriced seat returns null.

Input Schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {},
  "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema"
}
🟢race_odds(race)

Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg's price, volume and link, the seat holder and rating, forecaster bands, and the race page. Prices are never estimated.

Input Schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "race": {
      "type": "string",
      "minLength": 1,
      "description": "State name or code, a race slug (kansas-senate, michigan-governor, tx-34-house), or a House district (TX-34)."
    }
  },
  "required": [
    "race"
  ],
  "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema"
}
🟢fed_rate_odds

Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.

Input Schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {},
  "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema"
}

Output Schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "tell_user": {
      "description": "Show this sentence to the user first.",
      "type": "string"
    },
    "timestamp": {
      "type": "string"
    },
    "data_freshness": {},
    "sources": {},
    "needs_input": {},
    "example_call": {},
    "next_meeting": {
      "description": "Next FOMC meeting: date, days until, strike breakdown."
    },
    "rate_path_2026": {
      "description": "Implied outcome at each remaining 2026 meeting."
    },
    "current_target_range": {
      "description": "Current fed funds target range."
    },
    "by_venue": {
      "description": "Next-meeting odds by venue (Kalshi, Polymarket, CME futures)."
    },
    "divergence_pp": {
      "description": "Headline cross-venue gap for the next meeting, pp."
    }
  },
  "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
  "additionalProperties": {}
}
🟢market_pulse(topic)

The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".

Input Schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "topic": {
      "description": "macro = the US macro-health composite (the only topic). One of: macro.",
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "type": "string",
          "enum": [
            "macro"
          ]
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema"
}

Community

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Evidence

Recent observations

verifiedversion not recorded4 tools
verifiedversion not recorded4 tools