PolyBridge
Calibrated probabilistic foresight for AI agents, powered by live prediction-market signal.
¿Debería usar esto?
Calidad y seguridad
A
Basado en el análisis automatizado de las definiciones de herramientas y el cumplimiento del protocolo.
Costo de contexto
~1,551Tokens (definiciones de herramientas)
~8.9 KBTamaño de respuesta típico
Impacto moderado en la atención (1.21% del contexto de 128k)
Este es el número aproximado de tokens que se consumen cada vez que las herramientas del servidor se cargan en el contexto de un modelo. Los recuentos más altos reducen la atención disponible para otras tareas.
Instalar
Instalación con un clic
Agrega esto a tu archivo `claude_desktop_config.json`:
{
"mcpServers": {
"polybridge-mcp": {
"url": "https://mcp.polybridge.ai/mcp"
}
}
}Puntos de conexión remotos
https://mcp.polybridge.ai/mcpstreamable-httpQué puede hacer
Inventario de herramientas
Herramientas (2)
🟢 Solo lectura🟡 Escritura🔴 Eliminación⚪ Desconocido
🟢polybridge_search(query, dimensions, top_k_per_dimension, filters)
Search public prediction markets for markets relevant to a natural-language topic or question. Use when you need candidate markets, market URLs, outcomes, statuses, and relevance scores. Do not use for a final probability forecast, market-history lookup, trading, or private/internal data. Scores are relevance scores, not probabilities.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"query": {
"description": "Natural-language topic or question to match to public markets.",
"title": "Query",
"type": "string"
},
"dimensions": {
"default": [
"direct",
"upstream",
"downstream",
"correlated"
],
"description": "Search dimensions to run. Uses all supported dimensions by default.",
"items": {
"enum": [
"direct",
"upstream",
"downstream",
"correlated"
],
"type": "string"
},
"maxItems": 4,
"minItems": 1,
"title": "Dimensions",
"type": "array"
},
"top_k_per_dimension": {
"default": 5,
"description": "Maximum number of candidate markets to return per search dimension.",
"maximum": 100,
"minimum": 1,
"title": "Top K Per Dimension",
"type": "integer"
},
"filters": {
"anyOf": [
{
"$ref": "#/$defs/SearchToolFilters"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"description": "Optional market filters. Currently only filters.status is supported, with active, closed, or resolved."
}
},
"required": [
"query"
],
"$defs": {
"SearchToolFilters": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"status": {
"anyOf": [
{
"enum": [
"active",
"closed",
"resolved"
],
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Status"
}
},
"title": "SearchToolFilters",
"type": "object"
}
},
"title": "polybridge_searchArguments"
}Esquema de salida
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"request_id": {
"title": "Request Id",
"type": "string"
},
"query": {
"title": "Query",
"type": "string"
},
"total_markets": {
"title": "Total Markets",
"type": "integer"
},
"dimensions_returned": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Dimensions Returned",
"type": "array"
},
"results": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/CompactSearchResult"
},
"title": "Results",
"type": "array"
},
"warnings": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Warnings",
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"request_id",
"query",
"total_markets",
"dimensions_returned",
"results"
],
"$defs": {
"CompactSearchResult": {
"properties": {
"dimension": {
"title": "Dimension",
"type": "string"
},
"rank": {
"title": "Rank",
"type": "integer"
},
"market_id": {
"title": "Market Id",
"type": "string"
},
"platform": {
"title": "Platform",
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"outcomes": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Outcomes",
"type": "array"
},
"status": {
"enum": [
"active",
"closed",
"resolved"
],
"title": "Status",
"type": "string"
},
"platform_url": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Platform Url"
},
"score": {
"title": "Score",
"type": "number"
},
"warnings": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"title": "Warnings",
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"dimension",
"rank",
"market_id",
"platform",
"question",
"outcomes",
"status",
"score"
],
"title": "CompactSearchResult",
"type": "object"
}
},
"title": "CompactSearchResponse"
}🟢polybridge_forecast(question, include_graph)
Generate a read-only probability forecast for a clearly stated future event by searching relevant prediction markets and synthesizing evidence. Use when the user asks for a probability, outlook, or forecast; use polybridge_search when they only need market discovery. Does not place trades, provide financial advice, or access private/internal data.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"question": {
"description": "Clearly stated future-event forecasting question, 500 characters or fewer.",
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"include_graph": {
"default": true,
"description": "Whether to include the causal graph in the structured response.",
"title": "Include Graph",
"type": "boolean"
}
},
"required": [
"question"
],
"title": "polybridge_forecastArguments"
}Esquema de salida
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"request_id": {
"title": "Request Id",
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"probability": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "number"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Probability"
},
"confidence": {
"title": "Confidence",
"type": "number"
},
"confidence_interval": {
"anyOf": [
{
"$ref": "#/$defs/ConfidenceInterval"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null
},
"reasoning": {
"title": "Reasoning",
"type": "string"
},
"engine_type": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/EngineType"
},
"causal_graph": {
"anyOf": [
{
"$ref": "#/$defs/CausalGraphView"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null
},
"markets_used": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/MarketSummary"
},
"title": "Markets Used",
"type": "array"
},
"distribution": {
"anyOf": [
{
"additionalProperties": {
"type": "number"
},
"type": "object"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Distribution"
},
"latency_ms": {
"title": "Latency Ms",
"type": "integer"
},
"error": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Error"
},
"metadata": {
"additionalProperties": true,
"default": {},
"title": "Metadata",
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"request_id",
"question",
"confidence",
"reasoning",
"engine_type",
"markets_used",
"latency_ms"
],
"$defs": {
"CausalGraphView": {
"properties": {
"nodes": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/GraphNode"
},
"title": "Nodes",
"type": "array"
},
"edges": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/GraphEdge"
},
"title": "Edges",
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"nodes",
"edges"
],
"title": "CausalGraphView",
"type": "object"
},
"ConfidenceInterval": {
"properties": {
"lower": {
"title": "Lower",
"type": "number"
},
"upper": {
"title": "Upper",
"type": "number"
}
},
"required": [
"lower",
"upper"
],
"title": "ConfidenceInterval",
"type": "object"
},
"EngineType": {
"enum": [
"llm_standin",
"math_engine",
"oracle_port",
"llm_fallback"
],
"title": "EngineType",
"type": "string"
},
"GraphEdge": {
"properties": {
"source": {
"title": "Source",
"type": "string"
},
"target": {
"title": "Target",
"type": "string"
},
"relationship": {
"title": "Relationship",
"type": "string"
},
"strength": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "number"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"title": "Strength"
},
"description": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"title": "Description"
}
},
"required": [
"source",
"target",
"relationship",
"strength",
"description"
],
"title": "GraphEdge",
"type": "object"
},
"GraphNode": {
"properties": {
"id": {
"title": "Id",
"type": "string"
},
"label": {
"title": "Label",
"type": "string"
},
"markets": {
"items": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/MarketSummary"
},
"title": "Markets",
"type": "array"
},
"current_probability": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "number"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"title": "Current Probability"
}
},
"required": [
"id",
"label",
"markets",
"current_probability"
],
"title": "GraphNode",
"type": "object"
},
"MarketSummary": {
"properties": {
"id": {
"format": "uuid",
"title": "Id",
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"title": "Question",
"type": "string"
},
"platform": {
"$ref": "#/$defs/Platform"
},
"current_prices": {
"anyOf": [
{
"additionalProperties": {
"type": "number"
},
"type": "object"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Current Prices"
},
"platform_url": {
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string"
},
{
"type": "null"
}
],
"default": null,
"title": "Platform Url"
}
},
"required": [
"id",
"question",
"platform"
],
"title": "MarketSummary",
"type": "object"
},
"Platform": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"kalshi"
],
"title": "Platform",
"type": "string"
}
},
"title": "ForecastResponse"
}Comunidad
Evidencia
Observaciones recientes
verificadoversión no registrada2 herramientas
verificadoversión no registrada2 herramientas
verificadoversión no registrada2 herramientas