Russia–NATO risk ladder
Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site.
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Calidad y seguridad
Hallazgos (1)
- LOWTool 'get_changelog' description lacks action verben get_changelog
Basado en el análisis automatizado de las definiciones de herramientas y el cumplimiento del protocolo.
Costo de contexto
Este es el número aproximado de tokens que se consumen cada vez que las herramientas del servidor se cargan en el contexto de un modelo. Los recuentos más altos reducen la atención disponible para otras tareas.
Instalar
Instalación con un clic
Agrega esto a tu archivo `claude_desktop_config.json`:
{
"mcpServers": {
"risk-ladder": {
"url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
}
}
}Puntos de conexión remotos
https://mcp.russianato.site/mcpstreamable-httpQué puede hacer
Inventario de herramientas
Herramientas (8)
🟢get_overview(lang)
Start here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual).
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}🟢get_risk_ladder(date, scenario, hybrid_pct, regional_share_pct, wide_share_pct, ...)
Annual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"date": {
"type": "string",
"description": "YYYY-MM-DD; default = data date (as_of)"
},
"scenario": {
"description": "optimistic | baseline | pessimistic, or a number from -1 to 1",
"anyOf": [
{
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"optimistic",
"baseline",
"pessimistic"
]
},
{
"type": "number",
"minimum": -1,
"maximum": 1
}
]
},
"hybrid_pct": {
"type": "number",
"description": "What-if: annual probability of a destructive hybrid attack, %",
"minimum": 1,
"maximum": 99
},
"regional_share_pct": {
"type": "number",
"description": "What-if: share of attacks escalating into a regional war, %",
"minimum": 0,
"maximum": 100
},
"wide_share_pct": {
"type": "number",
"description": "What-if: share of regional wars escalating into a wider war, %",
"minimum": 0,
"maximum": 100
},
"scenario_factor": {
"type": "number",
"description": "What-if: factor F by which intensity changes per year in the extreme scenarios",
"minimum": 1,
"maximum": 10
},
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}🟢get_forecast_history(series, from, to, lang)
Published Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"series": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"attack",
"territory"
]
},
"from": {
"type": "string",
"description": "YYYY-MM-DD"
},
"to": {
"type": "string",
"description": "YYYY-MM-DD"
},
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}🟢get_intelligence_assessments(country, dimension, limit, lang)
Public assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"country": {
"type": "string",
"description": "ISO code: EE LV LT PL FI SE NO DK NL GB DE US"
},
"dimension": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"military",
"hybrid"
]
},
"limit": {
"type": "integer",
"minimum": 1,
"maximum": 100
},
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}🟢get_sources(type, country, query, limit, lang)
The 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"intel",
"research",
"method",
"forecast"
]
},
"country": {
"type": "string"
},
"query": {
"type": "string"
},
"limit": {
"type": "integer",
"minimum": 1,
"maximum": 60
},
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}🟢get_other_forecasts(lang)
Prediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}🟢get_changelog(type, limit, lang)
Significant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it).
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"data",
"model",
"ui",
"fix"
]
},
"limit": {
"type": "integer",
"minimum": 1,
"maximum": 100
},
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}🟢get_methodology(lang)
Level definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do.
Esquema de entrada
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"lang": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"en",
"ru",
"de",
"es",
"fr"
],
"description": "Language of text fields (default en)"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}Comunidad
Evidencia