Forecast Calibration Ledger: agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored
Signed agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored per cohort, with a self-killing trust weight.
我该使用它吗
质量与安全性
发现（1）
- LOWTool 'fcl_weight' description lacks action verb在 fcl_weight 中
基于对工具定义和协议合规性的自动分析。
上下文开销
这是每次将服务器的工具加载到模型上下文窗口时所消耗的大致 token 数。数值越高，可用于其他任务的注意力就越少。
安装
一键安装
将以下内容添加到你的 `claude_desktop_config.json` 文件中：
{
"mcpServers": {
"forecast-calibration-ledger": {
"url": "https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcp"
}
}
}远程端点
https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcpstreamable-http它能做什么
工具清单
工具（4）
🟡fcl_forecast(api_token, forecaster, cohort, run_id, p, ...)
Record a signed forecast bound to run_id. Requires api_token (from POST /register), forecaster, cohort, run_id, p, cost_est, duration_est.
输入模式
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"forecaster": {
"type": "string"
},
"cohort": {
"type": "string"
},
"run_id": {
"type": "string"
},
"p": {
"type": "number"
},
"cost_est": {
"type": "number"
},
"duration_est": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"forecaster",
"cohort",
"run_id",
"p",
"cost_est",
"duration_est"
]
}⚪fcl_resolve(api_token, run_id, success, cost_actual, duration_actual, ...)
Resolve a forecast against its run record ($0.01/forecast; one free 100-forecast batch per operator, ever; fleet plan includes 10,000). Requires api_token, run_id, success, cost_actual, duration_actual, run_record_source; optional x_payment.
输入模式
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"run_id": {
"type": "string"
},
"success": {
"type": "boolean"
},
"cost_actual": {
"type": "number"
},
"duration_actual": {
"type": "number"
},
"run_record_source": {
"type": "string"
},
"x_payment": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"run_id",
"success",
"cost_actual",
"duration_actual",
"run_record_source"
]
}⚪fcl_calibration(api_token, forecaster, cohort, x_payment)
Calibration query: Brier, skill vs climatology +/- SEM, bins, cost/duration error, trust weight ($0.005/query; included with fleet plan). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort; optional x_payment.
输入模式
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"forecaster": {
"type": "string"
},
"cohort": {
"type": "string"
},
"x_payment": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"forecaster",
"cohort"
]
}⚪fcl_weight(api_token, forecaster, cohort)
Trust weight / kill state for your forecaster+cohort (free). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort.
输入模式
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"forecaster": {
"type": "string"
},
"cohort": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"forecaster",
"cohort"
]
}社区
证据