Forecast Calibration Ledger: agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored
Signed agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored per cohort, with a self-killing trust weight.
我該用這個嗎
品質與安全性
發現項目（1）
- LOWTool 'fcl_weight' description lacks action verb在 fcl_weight 中
根據工具定義與協定合規性的自動化分析。
上下文成本
這是每次將伺服器的工具載入模型上下文時所消耗的約略 token 數量。數量越高，可用於其他工作的注意力就越少。
安裝
一鍵安裝
將以下內容加入你的 `claude_desktop_config.json` 檔案：
{
"mcpServers": {
"forecast-calibration-ledger": {
"url": "https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcp"
}
}
}遠端端點
https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcpstreamable-http它能做什麼
工具清單
工具（4）
🟡fcl_forecast(api_token, forecaster, cohort, run_id, p, ...)
Record a signed forecast bound to run_id. Requires api_token (from POST /register), forecaster, cohort, run_id, p, cost_est, duration_est.
輸入結構描述
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"forecaster": {
"type": "string"
},
"cohort": {
"type": "string"
},
"run_id": {
"type": "string"
},
"p": {
"type": "number"
},
"cost_est": {
"type": "number"
},
"duration_est": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"forecaster",
"cohort",
"run_id",
"p",
"cost_est",
"duration_est"
]
}⚪fcl_resolve(api_token, run_id, success, cost_actual, duration_actual, ...)
Resolve a forecast against its run record ($0.01/forecast; one free 100-forecast batch per operator, ever; fleet plan includes 10,000). Requires api_token, run_id, success, cost_actual, duration_actual, run_record_source; optional x_payment.
輸入結構描述
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"run_id": {
"type": "string"
},
"success": {
"type": "boolean"
},
"cost_actual": {
"type": "number"
},
"duration_actual": {
"type": "number"
},
"run_record_source": {
"type": "string"
},
"x_payment": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"run_id",
"success",
"cost_actual",
"duration_actual",
"run_record_source"
]
}⚪fcl_calibration(api_token, forecaster, cohort, x_payment)
Calibration query: Brier, skill vs climatology +/- SEM, bins, cost/duration error, trust weight ($0.005/query; included with fleet plan). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort; optional x_payment.
輸入結構描述
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"forecaster": {
"type": "string"
},
"cohort": {
"type": "string"
},
"x_payment": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"forecaster",
"cohort"
]
}⚪fcl_weight(api_token, forecaster, cohort)
Trust weight / kill state for your forecaster+cohort (free). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort.
輸入結構描述
{
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"api_token": {
"type": "string"
},
"forecaster": {
"type": "string"
},
"cohort": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"api_token",
"forecaster",
"cohort"
]
}社群
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